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January 25, 2016 Election Seat Projections

2016 Manitoba Election Seat Projections




MB Projections

The following table lists the results of the seat projections for the next Manitoba election.

Date GRN LIB NDP PC OTH Firm
2016-01-25 8 4 45 Election Almanac
2016-01-11 9 7 41 Three Hundred Eight
2016-01-09 10 6 41 Election Almanac
2015-12-22 17 3 37 Election Almanac
2015-12-15 10 5 42 Election Almanac
2015-09-23 8 7 42 Election Almanac
2015-06-27 6 10 41 Election Almanac
2015-04-05 7 9 41 Election Almanac
2014-12-12 7 9 41 Election Almanac
2014-11-03 7 7 43 Election Almanac
2014-10-30 4 15 38 Three Hundred Eight
2014-10-30 6 18 33 Three Hundred Eight
2014-10-01 6 10 41 Election Almanac
2014-06-19 5 11 41 Election Almanac
2014-03-28 8 8 41 Election Almanac
2014-02-07 7 7 43 Election Almanac
2014-01-06 6 9 42 Three Hundred Eight
2013-12-27 7 8 42 Election Almanac
2013-09-28 7 9 41 Election Almanac
2013-06-26 6 10 41 Election Almanac
2013-04-14 4 19 34 Election Almanac
2013-01-02 2 34 21 Three Hundred Eight
2012-12-14 2 25 30 Election Almanac
2012-10-31 2 37 18 Three Hundred Eight
2012-10-14 2 34 21 Election Almanac
2012-07-24 2 36 19 Three Hundred Eight
2012-06-29 2 34 21 Election Almanac
2012-04-04 2 23 32 Election Almanac
Election 2011 1 37 19
Methodology/Disclaimer: Election Almanac uses a proportional swing model for its projections based on the latest election poll results. For example, if a poll gives a party only 90% of the share of the vote that they received in the last election, the projector assumes the party’s vote will be 90% of what it received in every seat in the last election. The same methodology applies for increases. If a poll suggests that a party’s vote will be 110% of what it received in the last election, the projector assumes the party’s vote will be 110% of what it received in every seat during the last election. No projection model is 100% accurate. Projections are produced by Election Almanac entertainment purposes only.




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