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Seat Projections | 2012 Alberta Provincial Election

April 23, 2012 Uncategorized Comments Off

Alberta



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Election Almanac uses a uniform swing model for its projections based on the latest election poll results. For example, if a poll gives a party a 5% greater share of the vote than they received in the last election, the projector assumes the party’s vote has gone up by 5% in every seat. The same methodology applies for decreases. No projection model is 100% accurate. The projections below are for entertainment purposes only.

Date ABP LIB NDP PC WR OTH
2012/04/22 - 1 5 36 45 -
2012/04/21 - - 6 31 50 -
2012/04/19 - 1 5 33 48 -
2012/04/19 - 1 6 31 49 -
2012/04/18 - 1 5 32 49 -
2012/04/16 - 1 4 33 49 -
2012/04/16 - 1 5 32 49 -
2012/04/14 - 1 4 34 48 -
2012/04/11 - - 5 29 52 -
2012/04/11 - - 5 31 50 -
2012/04/10 - 2 7 26 51 -
2012/04/09 - - 6 29 51 -
2012/04/08 - 1 6 37 43 -
2012/04/04 - 1 6 28 51 -
2012/04/04 - - 6 31 49 -
2012/04/03 - 1 5 28 52 -
2012/04/03 - 1 6 28 51 -
2012/04/02 - 3 6 26 51 -
2012/03/28 - 5 6 24 51 -
2012/03/26 - 3 6 27 50 -
2012/03/26 - 1 6 29 50 -
2012/03/25 - - 6 41 40 -
2012/03/25 - 1 6 40 40 -
2012/03/25 - - 6 39 42 -
2012/03/07 - 10 7 34 32 -
2012/02 - - 6 57 20 -
2012/02/10 - 1 6 45 31 -
2012/02/02 - 1 6 49 27 -
2012/01/31 - - 6 66 11 -
2012/01/17 - 1 6 49 27 -
2012/01/18 - - 5 76 2 -
2011/12/14 - 1 6 61 15 -
2011/11/08 - 5 74 4 -
2011/10/19 - 2 6 65 10 -
2011/10/02 - - 6 74 3 -
2011/09/24 - 2 7 60 14 -
2011/07/24 - - 5 76 2 -
2011/07 - - 6 50 27 -
2011/05/24 - 6 7 37 33 -
2011/01/31 - 12 4 50 17 -
2010/12/02 - 11 5 32 35 -
2010/10/03 - 12 5 49 17 -
2010/05/02 - 17 5 33 28 -
2010/03/09 - 16 5 30 32 -
2010/02 - 9 5 20 49 -
2009/12 - 21 5 14 43 -
2009/10 - 12 5 42 21 -
2009/10 - 12 5 54 11 -
2009/10 - 12 4 37 29 -
2009/06 - 8 2 72 1 -
2009/04 - - 4 78 1 -
2009/04 - 1 6 76 - -
2008/12 - - 1 81 - -
2008/10 - - 4 79 - -
2008/06 - 11 4 67 1 -
2008/03 - 5 4 73 1 -


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